Output gap estimatıon for the case of Turkey

buir.advisorGürkaynak, Refet S.
dc.contributor.authorAytaç, Alican
dc.date.accessioned2016-07-01T11:12:00Z
dc.date.available2016-07-01T11:12:00Z
dc.date.issued2015
dc.descriptionCataloged from PDF version of article.en_US
dc.description.abstractThis study investigates the output gap estimation using dynamic, stochastic, and general equilibrium models. In macroeconomics, output gap is defined as the difference between the actual output and the potential output. Actual output refers to the GDP, which measures the monetary value of the total production in the domestic economy in a certain time period. Potential output is the maximum amount of production that can be reached with the available resources and technology. Potential output is measured by HP-Filtering and DSGE methods. In this thesis, these methods are used to estimate the maximum output gap for the Turkish Economy. It is shown that both these methods predict the maximum output gap accurately. In particular, Csminwel and Monte-Carlo simulation methods are used to obtain the maximum output gap between the first quarter of 2005 and the second quarter of 2014.en_US
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2016-07-01T11:12:00Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 0007013.pdf: 828743 bytes, checksum: 948f72d887a4175d5cd28e88226194ee (MD5) Previous issue date: 2015en
dc.description.statementofresponsibilityAytaç, Alicanen_US
dc.format.extentviii, 20 leaves, chartsen_US
dc.identifier.itemidB151243
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11693/30082
dc.language.isoEnglishen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectOutput Gap Estimationen_US
dc.subjectSmets-Wouters Modelen_US
dc.subjectMonte-Carlo Simulationen_US
dc.subjectCsminwel methoden_US
dc.subjectHP-Filteren_US
dc.subject.lccB151243en_US
dc.titleOutput gap estimatıon for the case of Turkeyen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
thesis.degree.disciplineEconomics
thesis.degree.grantorBilkent University
thesis.degree.levelMaster's
thesis.degree.nameMA (Master of Arts)

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