Signalling in the Turkish-Syrian water conflict
Date
1998
Authors
Güner, S.
Editor(s)
Advisor
Supervisor
Co-Advisor
Co-Supervisor
Instructor
BUIR Usage Stats
7
views
views
21
downloads
downloads
Series
Abstract
This paper proposes a simple two-person game of one-sided incomplete information in extensive form to understand strategic choices made in the Turkish-Syrian linkage between water and terrorism. Turkish intelligence established Syrian support of a terrorist group that aims at an independent Kurdish state in eastern Anatolia. Yet, Turkey frequently stipulates the cessation of this support for negotiating with Syria a water agreement over the Euphrates. The game presents Turkey as a player having superior information. Syria is assumed to be uncertain about Turkish preferences with respect to the mutual conflict. This analysis identifies three pooling equilibria indicating that Syrian beliefs do not matter.
Source Title
Conflict Management and Peace Science
Publisher
Sage
Course
Other identifiers
Book Title
Keywords
Degree Discipline
Degree Level
Degree Name
Citation
Permalink
Published Version (Please cite this version)
Language
English