Seasonality in inflation volatility: evidence from Turkey

Abstract

This paper assesses the presence of seasonal volatility in price indexes where a similar type of pattern has been reported in asset prices in financial markets. The empirical evidence from Turkey for the monthly period from 1987:01 to 2007:05 suggests the presence of seasonality in the conditional variance of inflation. Thus, inferences for the models that do not account for the seasonality in the conditional variance will be misleading.