An empirical study of socio-economic determinants of crime

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buir.advisorSerel, Doğan
dc.contributor.authorArslan, Dursun
dc.date.accessioned2016-01-08T20:17:58Z
dc.date.available2016-01-08T20:17:58Z
dc.date.issued2004
dc.descriptionAnkara : The Department of Management, Bilkent Univ., 2004.en_US
dc.descriptionThesis (Master's) -- Bilkent University, 2004.en_US
dc.descriptionIncludes bibliographical references leaves 101-112.en_US
dc.description.abstractCrimes lower the quality of life for many people in all societies. The concept of crime prevention is directly related to the studies about causation and prevention methods. State statistics institutes and law enforcement agencies store various kinds and quantities of data. Law enforcement agencies can use these data to take some measures to eliminate and minimize the crime rates. Temporal and spatial variations in crime rates have been studied extensively in the literature. A variety of demographic factors including unemployment rate, education level, age composition of the population, and average income level have been suggested by different researchers as explanatory variables for observed variations in crime rates. Variables such as number of police per capita, crime clear-up rates, and incarceration population have been considered as deterrents of crime. In this thesis, using cross-sectional data associated with 81 cities in Turkey, selected types of crime (murder, theft, crimes against persons and property) are empirically analyzed. The multiple regression results indicate that crime rates in general are negatively related to clear up rates and average income level in a region seems to be positively related to crimes against property. For short term forecasting of crime rates, a trend and seasonality adjusted exponential smoothing scheme is applied to the time series data for theft rates in three major cities. The highest mean absolute percentage eiTor computed ba.sed on one-period-ahead forecast errors is less than 15 % in all cases.en_US
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2016-01-08T20:17:58Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 1.pdf: 78510 bytes, checksum: d85492f20c2362aa2bcf4aad49380397 (MD5)en
dc.description.statementofresponsibilityArslan, Dursunen_US
dc.format.extentxiii, 165 leaves, tablesen_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11693/18289
dc.language.isoEnglishen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectCrime analysisen_US
dc.subjectshort-term forecasts of crimeen_US
dc.subjectcriminality in Turkeyen_US
dc.subjectlaw enforcementen_US
dc.subject.lccHV7076.7 .A77 2004en_US
dc.subject.lcshCrimes--Turkey.en_US
dc.subject.lcshCriminology--Turkey.en_US
dc.subject.lcshLaw enforcement--Turkey.en_US
dc.subject.lcshCriminal procedure--Turkey.en_US
dc.titleAn empirical study of socio-economic determinants of crimeen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
thesis.degree.disciplineBusiness Administration
thesis.degree.grantorBilkent University
thesis.degree.levelMaster's
thesis.degree.nameMBA (Master of Business Administration)

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