Why should i trust your forecasts?
Date
2012
Authors
Gönül, M. S.
Önkal D.
Goodwin, P.
Editor(s)
Advisor
Supervisor
Co-Advisor
Co-Supervisor
Instructor
Source Title
Foresight: the international journal of applied forecasting
Print ISSN
1555-9068
Electronic ISSN
Publisher
International Institute of Forecasters
Volume
Issue
27
Pages
5 - 9
Language
English
Type
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Attention Stats
Usage Stats
3
views
views
12
downloads
downloads
Series
Abstract
Preview Mistrust is a serious problem for organizations. So much has been written about functional biases and misaligned incentives that one wonders how anyone can trust a forecast provider. Well, now we have some studies that shed new light on the factors that can build or impede trust in forecasting. In this article, Sinan, Dilek, and Paul discuss the latest research findings on the steps you can take to improve trust and reduce dysfunctional behavior in the forecast function. Their conclusions offer a check list of steps to eliminate or at least minimize the element of mistrust in your forecasts.