Why should i trust your forecasts?

Date

2012

Authors

Gönül, M. S.
Önkal D.
Goodwin, P.

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Source Title

Foresight: the international journal of applied forecasting

Print ISSN

1555-9068

Electronic ISSN

Publisher

International Institute of Forecasters

Volume

Issue

27

Pages

5 - 9

Language

English

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Abstract

Preview Mistrust is a serious problem for organizations. So much has been written about functional biases and misaligned incentives that one wonders how anyone can trust a forecast provider. Well, now we have some studies that shed new light on the factors that can build or impede trust in forecasting. In this article, Sinan, Dilek, and Paul discuss the latest research findings on the steps you can take to improve trust and reduce dysfunctional behavior in the forecast function. Their conclusions offer a check list of steps to eliminate or at least minimize the element of mistrust in your forecasts.

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Published Version (Please cite this version)