Proliferation and the logic of the nuclear market

buir.contributor.authorGheorghe, Eliza
dc.citation.epage127en_US
dc.citation.issueNumber4en_US
dc.citation.spage88en_US
dc.citation.volumeNumber43en_US
dc.contributor.authorGheorghe, Elizaen_US
dc.date.accessioned2020-02-07T13:23:01Z
dc.date.available2020-02-07T13:23:01Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.departmentDepartment of International Relationsen_US
dc.description.abstractThe evolution of the nuclear market explains why there are only nine members of the nuclear club, not twenty-five or more, as some analysts predicted. In the absence of a supplier cartel that can regulate nuclear transfers, the more suppliers there are, the more intense their competition will be, as they vie for market share. This commercial rivalry makes it easier for nuclear technology to spread, because buyers can play suppliers off against each other. The ensuing transfers help countries either acquire nuclear weapons or become hedgers. The great powers (China, Russia, and the United States) seek to thwart proliferation by limiting transfers and putting safeguards on potentially dangerous nuclear technologies. Their success depends on two structural factors: the global distribution of power and the intensity of the security rivalry among them. Thwarters are most likely to stem proliferation when the system is unipolar and least likely when it is multipolar. In bipolarity, their prospects fall somewhere in between. In addition, the more intense the rivalry among the great powers in bipolarity and multipolarity, the less effective they will be at curbing proliferation. Given the potential for intense security rivalry among today's great powers, the shift from unipolarity to multipolarity does not portend well for checking proliferation.en_US
dc.description.provenanceSubmitted by Evrim Ergin (eergin@bilkent.edu.tr) on 2020-02-07T13:23:01Z No. of bitstreams: 1 Proliferation_and_the_logic_of_the_nuclear_market.pdf: 722302 bytes, checksum: 4baef10788c85cb22c2d10cf5cdd62d3 (MD5)en
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2020-02-07T13:23:01Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 Proliferation_and_the_logic_of_the_nuclear_market.pdf: 722302 bytes, checksum: 4baef10788c85cb22c2d10cf5cdd62d3 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2019en
dc.identifier.doi10.1162/isec_a_00344en_US
dc.identifier.eissn1531-4804
dc.identifier.issn0162-2889
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11693/53197
dc.language.isoEnglishen_US
dc.publisherMIT Press Journalsen_US
dc.relation.isversionofhttps://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00344en_US
dc.source.titleInternational Securityen_US
dc.titleProliferation and the logic of the nuclear marketen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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