Feedback-labelling synergies in judgmental stock price forecasting

dc.citation.epage186en_US
dc.citation.issueNumber1en_US
dc.citation.spage175en_US
dc.citation.volumeNumber37en_US
dc.contributor.authorGoodwin, P.en_US
dc.contributor.authorÖnkal-Atay, D.en_US
dc.contributor.authorThomson, M. E.en_US
dc.contributor.authorPollock, A. C.en_US
dc.contributor.authorMacaulay, A.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2016-02-08T10:27:18Z
dc.date.available2016-02-08T10:27:18Z
dc.date.issued2004en_US
dc.departmentDepartment of Managementen_US
dc.description.abstractResearch has suggested that outcome feedback is less effective than other forms of feedback in promoting learning by users of decision support systems. However, if circumstances can be identified where the effectiveness of outcome feedback can be improved, this offers considerable advantages, given its lower computational demands, ease of understanding and immediacy. An experiment in stock price forecasting was used to compare the effectiveness of outcome and performance feedback: (i) when different forms of probability forecast were required, and (ii) with and without the presence of contextual information provided as labels. For interval forecasts, the effectiveness of outcome feedback came close to that of performance feedback, as long as labels were provided. For directional probability forecasts, outcome feedback was not effective, even if labels were supplied. Implications are discussed and future research directions are suggested.en_US
dc.description.provenanceMade available in DSpace on 2016-02-08T10:27:18Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 bilkent-research-paper.pdf: 70227 bytes, checksum: 26e812c6f5156f83f0e77b261a471b5a (MD5) Previous issue date: 2004en
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/S0167-9236(03)00002-2en_US
dc.identifier.eissn1873-5797
dc.identifier.issn0167-9236
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11693/24302
dc.language.isoEnglishen_US
dc.publisherElsevieren_US
dc.relation.isversionofhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0167-9236(03)00002-2en_US
dc.source.titleDecision Support Systemsen_US
dc.subjectCalibrationen_US
dc.subjectContextual informationen_US
dc.subjectJudgmenten_US
dc.subjectStock priceen_US
dc.subjectCorrelation methodsen_US
dc.subjectData reductionen_US
dc.subjectFeedbacken_US
dc.subjectForecastingen_US
dc.subjectIndustrial economicsen_US
dc.subjectIndustrial researchen_US
dc.subjectProbabilityen_US
dc.subjectDecision support systemsen_US
dc.titleFeedback-labelling synergies in judgmental stock price forecastingen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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