A time series analysis of the Japanese yen with monthly data

Abstract

The purpose of this thesis is to obtain a function which will help in using the exchange rate between the Japanese Yen (Yen) and the United States Dollar (Dollar) as an investment alternative. A three-step method is followed throughout this study. Yen and the set of five countries' exchange and interest rates is searched at the first step. Mullticolinearity and nonstationarity problems are observed at this stage. At the second step the data set is converted into a stationary form by taking the first differences. Then regression is applied and no significant correlation is found. At the final step relation between Yen and three subgroups from the data set are examined and no significant relation is found again. This thesis concludes by explaining the outcomes of our analyses.