Browsing by Subject "Interest rates"

Now showing 1 - 5 of 5

Open Access
The day of the week effect and interest rates
(Elsevier, 2020) Gayaker, S.; Yalçın, Y.; Berument, M. Hakan
The day of the week effect is one of the regularities observed in financial markets which suggests that Friday returns are higher than Monday returns. One of the possible reasons for this regularity is that the date of trade in equity markets is not always the same as the date that payment is made, or the settlement date. The number of days that investors have to wait for payment is higher when that trade is realized on Fridays rather than on Mondays (due to the weekend holidays). Thus, investors have a few more days to use the money in alternative markets when the trade has been realized on Fridays and until the trade is settled on the settlement date. This paper provides empirical evidence that as the return in alternative markets (overnight interest rates) decreases, the day of the week effect decreases. Thus, there should be a positive relationship between the expected relative returns on Friday to Monday and overnight interest rates.
Open Access
The effects of anticipated and unanticipated federal funds target rate changes on domestic interest rates: international evidence
(S.E.I.F at Paris, 2010) Berument, Hakan; Ceylan, N. B.
This paper assesses the effects of anticipated and unanticipated United States Federal Funds target rate changes on the domestic interest rates of a set of countries for the period from June 1989 to August 2008. The empirical evidence provided here suggests that i. unanticipated changes have a greater effect than anticipated changes; and ii. evidence from developed markets is stronger than that from developing/emerging markets.
Open Access
The effects of different inflation risk premiums on interest rate spreads
(Elsevier BV, 2004) Berument, Hakan; Kilinc, Z.; Ozlale, U.
This paper analyzes how the different types of inflation uncertainty affect a set of interest rate spreads for the UK. Three types of inflation uncertainty - structural uncertainty, impulse uncertainty, and steady-state inflation uncertainty - are defined and derived by using a time-varying parameter model with a GARCH specification. It is found that both the structural and steady-state inflation uncertainties increase interest rate spreads, while the empirical evidence for the impulse uncertainty is not conclusive. © 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Open Access
Effects of monetary policy on the long memory in interest rates: Evidence from an emerging market
(Elsevier, 2013) Sensoy, A.
We study the presence of long memory in a variety of interest rates in Turkey by time-varying generalized Hurst exponent. We reveal that adopting inflation targeting cause a sudden and considerable decrease in the long memory in interest rates. The improvement lasts till the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 which is followed with an increased persistence in interest rates. Moreover, degree of long memory increases with maturity which is in contrast to economic theory.
Open Access
Macroeconomics and the term structure
(American Economic Association, 2012) Gürkaynak, R. S.; Wright, J. H.
This paper provides an overview of the analysis of the term structure of interest rates with a special emphasis on recent developments at the intersection of macroeconomics and finance. The topic is important to investors and also to policymakers, who wish to extract macroeconomic expectations from longer-term interest rates, and take actions to influence those rates. The simplest model of the term structure is the expectations hypothesis, which posits that long-term interest rates are expectations of future average short-term rates. In this paper, we show that many features of the configuration of interest rates are puzzling from the perspective of the expectations hypothesis. We review models that explain these anomalies using time-varying risk premia. Although the quest for the fundamental macroeconomic explanations of these risk premia is ongoing, inflation uncertainty seems to play a large role. Finally, while modern finance theory prices bonds and other assets in a single unified framework, we also consider an earlier approach based on segmented markets. Market segmentation seems important to understand the term structure of interest rates during the recent financial crisis.