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Browsing by Subject "Energy market"

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    Bidding structure, market efficiency and persistence in a multi-time tariff setting
    (Elsevier, 2016) Avci-Surucu, E.; Aydogan, A. K.; Akgul, D.
    The purpose of this study is to examine the fractal dynamics of day ahead electricity prices by using parametric and semi parametric approaches for each time zone in a multi-time tariff setting in the framework of bidding strategies, market efficiency and persistence of exogenous shocks. We find that that electricity prices have long term correlation structure for the first and third time zones indicating that market participants bid hyperbolically and not at their marginal costs, market is not weak form efficient at these hours and exogenous shocks to change the mean level of prices will have permanent effect and be effective. On the other hand, for the second time zone we find that price series does not exhibit long term memory. This finding suggests the weak form efficiency of the market in these hours and that market participants bid at their marginal costs. Furthermore this indicates that exogenous shocks will have temporary effect on electricity prices in these hours. These findings constitute an important foundation for policy makers and market participants to develop appropriate electricity price forecasting tools, market monitoring indexes and to conduct ex-ante impact assessment.
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    Enerji ve değişim: TEK’ten EPDK’ye Türkiye’nin elektrik piyasasındaki dönüşüm
    (Bilkent University, 2025) Kızıloğlu, Lütfü Heysem; Anbar, Emin Mete; Tekeli, Eser Tekin; Akdaş, Aybala; Yüksel, Arda; Erdem, Sıla Yağmur
    Bu çalışma, TEK ve EPDK dönemlerinin karşılaştırılması ile enerji sektörünün gelişim ve dönüşüm süreçlerini ele alacaktır. Türkiye Elektrik Kurumu (TEK), 1970 yılında kurulmuş ve 1994 yılında kapanana kadar Türkiye’de elektrik üretim, iletim ve dağıtım faaliyetlerini birleştirmeyi hedeflemiş olan bir kamu kurumudur. Ayrıca TEK, kırsal elektrifikasyon projeleri ile ülkenin kırsal bölgelerine elektrik enerjisi ulaştırmayı amaçlamıştır. Ancak, bürokratik sorunlar ve ekonomik krizler kurumun başarısını olumsuz etkilemiştir. 2001 yılında yürürlüğe giren 4628 sayılı Elektrik Piyasası Kanunu ile enerji sektöründe serbestleşme ve özelleşme süreci başlamış, Enerji Piyasası Düzenleme Kurumu’nun (EPDK) kurulmasıyla özelleşme süreci ivme kazanmıştır. Bahsi geçen reformlar, yenilenebilir enerji projelerinde ilerleme ve kaynak oluşumuna katkıda bulunmuş olsa da, yüksek fiyatlanma ve bölgesel dalgalanmalar gibi sorunlara yol açmıştır.
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    The Iraq war, Turkey, and renewed caspian energy prospects
    (Middle East Institute, 2008) Williams, P. A.; Tekin, A.
    Many have linked the US-led invasion of Iraq to its oil resources, leading some observers to question Caspian energy prospects. This article analyzes how the Iraqi occupation and Caspian oil prospects have been inter-linked, via the evolution of American and Turkish assessments of Iraq and the Caspian region. It shows that, contrary to initial expectations, the occupation of Iraq bolstered the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan project as well as a number of other increasingly significant natural gas export pipelines.
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    Market cycles, power politics and the latest North – South energy trade conflict
    (Routledge, 2007) Williams, P. A.
    Energy trade periodically aligns Northern importing - consuming countries against predominantly Southern producing - exporting countries. Conflict appears to follow a cyclical pattern, whereby Northern firms invest in developing Third World hydrocarbon resources to meet consumer demand until market conditions enable unilateral efforts by host sovereigns to augment fiscal take and ownership share and to impose output restrictions, thereby elevating prices and revenues. Although markets eventually correct themselves, major consuming-country governments, to the extent that seller's markets attributable to exporter actions harm short-term consumer welfare and alternative options for restoring buyer's markets are lacking, have varying incentives to support military intervention. Shifting market conditions and power balances suggest six ideal-typical energy trade conflict strategies. Finally, to the extent that exporting states succeed in converting higher hydrocarbon revenues into energy-intensive economic growth, co-operative phases within this conflict pattern could yield to increasingly zero-sum inter-consumer rivalry.

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