Modeling the latent period in compartmental epidemiological models

Date
2023-01
Advisor
Atay, Mehmet Fatihcan
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Bilkent University
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Language
English
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Thesis
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Abstract

Two epidemiological models for the latent period are studied: the SEIR model and the SIR model with delay. Stability analysis of the endemic and the disease-free equilibria is performed for both models, and the basic reproduction number is determined. Using the meningococcal disease datasets of four countries, the best-fitted disease transmission rate is estimated by the least squares method, and the corresponding basic reproduction numbers are calculated for each country.

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Keywords
Epidemic models, SEIR model, Latent period, SIR model with delay, Stability, Basic reproduction number, Parameter estimation
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Published Version (Please cite this version)