Browsing by Subject "Variance decomposition"

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    Dedollarization in Turkey after decades of dollarization: a myth or reality?
    (Elsevier BV, 2007) Özcan, K. M.; Us, V.
    The paper analyzes dollarization in the Turkish economy given the evidence on dedollarization signals. On conducting a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model, the empirical evidence suggests that dollarization has mostly been shaped by macroeconomic imbalances as measured by exchange rate depreciation volatility, inflation volatility and expectations. Furthermore, the generalized impulse response function (IRF) analysis, in addition to the analysis of variance decomposition (VDC) gives support to the notion that dollarization seems to sustain its persistent nature, thus hysteresis still prevails. Hence, unfavorable macroeconomic conditions apparently contribute to dollarization while dollarization itself contains inertia. Furthermore, dedollarization that presumably started after 2001 has lost headway after May 2006. Thus, it seems too early to conclude that dollarization changed its route to dedollarization. © 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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    Interdependence of the banking sector and the real sector: evidence from OECD countries
    (2008) Şendeniz-Yüncü, İ.; Akdeniz, L.; Aydoğan, K.
    This paper investigates the validity of the credit view hypothesis in eleven OECD countries over the period 1987:QI – 2003:QIII. The existence of a long-run relationship between the banking sector and the real sector is supported by cointegration test results. For some of the countries in the sample, Granger causality tests show the leading role of the banking sector in the real sector, thus supporting the credit view hypothesis, whereas for other countries, the same tests indicate no interdependence.