Browsing by Subject "Asymmetric effects"

Now showing 1 - 3 of 3

Open Access
Asymmetric effects of benchmark prices on Iraqi oil: Basrah Light, Basrah Heavy and Kirkuk
(2021-02) Kahraman, Volkan
This thesis assesses the asymmetric effects of benchmark oil prices on Basrah Light, Basrah Heavy and Kirkuk crude oil prices. The empirical evidence reveals that a decrease in benchmark prices decreases three Iraqi oil blends more than an increase in benchmark increases for three Iraqi blends. Moreover, as the magnitude of shocks to benchmarks increases, then the degree of asymmetry also increases.
Open Access
The asymmetry in the effects of defense spending shocks on economy : an emprical analysis for Turkey
(2005) Yılmaz, Orhan
The purpose of this study is to asses, whether or not the expansionary and contractionary defense spending shocks have asymmetric effects on the Turkish economy. It is widely believed that decrease in the government spending resulted from decrease in defense spending — although there is no guarantee that savings on defense spending would be applied to deficit reduction—will be followed by decrease in prices providing stability in the market. But contrary to these beliefs there can be asymmetry in the effect of defense spending innovations because of some factors. We have investigated the reactions of macroeconomic variables— real income, prices, money, exchange rate, and employment— to the defense spending innovations by applying vector autoregression (VAR) methodology. The empirical evidence reported here gives evidence on that there is statistically significant asymmetric effect on real income (positive defense spending shock increases the real income) and on price level (positive defense spending shock decreases price level), but there is no statistically significant evidence on the effect of expansionary and contractionary defense spending on: money supply, exchange rate, and employment variables.
Open Access
Benchmark prices and Iraqi oil prices: the asymmetric effects of benchmark prices on three Iraqi oil blends
(Econjournals, 2024-03-15) Kahraman, Volkan; Doğan, Nukhet; Berument, Hakan
This paper examines the asymmetric effects of benchmark oil prices on the prices of the three major Iraqi oil blends (Basrah Light, Basrah Heavy and Kirkuk) using Kilian and Vigfusson’s (2011) non-linear VAR specification. The empirical evidence reveals that a decrease in benchmark prices decreases Basrah Light and Kirkuk oil blends more than an increase in the benchmark increases the prices of these two Iraqi blends for the October 2002–October 2019 period. However, the asymmetric behavior of Basrah Heavy is the reverse for the April 2015-October 2019 period. Moreover, as the magnitude of the benchmark oil price shocks increases, the degree of asymmetry increases. This shows that Iraq cannot benefit from oil price increases and market developments for its two most important export blends: Basrah Light and Kirkuk. © 2024, Econjournals. All rights reserved.