Browsing by Subject "Advance demand information"

Filter results by typing the first few letters
Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
  • Thumbnail Image
    ItemOpen Access
    Modelling imperfect advance demand information and analysis of optimal inventory policies
    (Elsevier, 2006) Tan, T.; Güllü, R.; Erkip, N.
    We consider an inventory control problem where it is possible to collect some imperfect information on future demand. We refer to such information as imperfect Advance Demand Information (ADI), which may occur in different forms of applications. A simple example is a company that uses sales representatives to market its products, in which case the collection of sales representatives' information as to the number of customers interested in a product can generate an indication about the future sales of that product, hence it constitutes imperfect ADI. Other applications include internet retailing, Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI) applications and Collaborative Planning, Forecasting, and Replenishment (CPFR) environments. We develop a model that incorporates imperfect ADI with ordering decisions. Under our system settings, we show that the optimal policy is of order-up-to type, where the order level is a function of imperfect ADI. We also provide some characterizations of the optimal solution. We develop an expression for the expected cost benefits of imperfect ADI for the myopic problem. Our analytical and empirical findings reveal the conditions under which imperfect ADI is more valuable.
  • Thumbnail Image
    ItemOpen Access
    Using imperfect advance demand information in ordering and rationing decisions
    (Elsevier, 2009) Tan, T.; Güllü, R.; Erkip, N.
    In this paper, we consider an inventory problem with two demand classes having different priorities. The appropriate policy of rationing the available stock, i.e. reserving some stock for meeting prospective future demand of preferred customers at the expense of deliberately losing some of the currently materialized demand of lower demand class(es), relies on the estimation of the future demand. Utilizing current signals on future demand, which we refer to as imperfect advance demand information (ADI), decreases uncertainty on future demand and may help to make better decisions on when to start rejecting lower class demand. We develop a model that incorporates imperfect ADI with inventory ordering (replenishment) decision and rationing available stock. In a two-period setting, we show some structural properties, solve the rationing problem, and propose solution methods based on Monte Carlo simulation for the ordering problem. We conduct numerical tests to measure the impact of system parameters on the expected value of imperfect ADI, and provide useful managerial insights.