The impact of uncertainty on investment : overview

buir.advisorYiğit, Taner
dc.contributor.authorYılmaz, Erdal
dc.date.accessioned2016-01-08T18:12:02Z
dc.date.available2016-01-08T18:12:02Z
dc.date.issued2009
dc.departmentDepartment of Economicsen_US
dc.descriptionAnkara : The Department of Economics, Bilkent University, 2009.en_US
dc.descriptionThesis (Master's) -- Bilkent University, 2009.en_US
dc.descriptionIncludes bibliographical references leaves 41-43.en_US
dc.description.abstractCommon consensus in the real option literature is that there is a negative relationship between uncertainty and investment. One of the explanations can be stated that the increased in uncertainty leads to move up the value of waiting and consequently has an adverse effect on investment. Contrary to the existing theory, Sarkar (2000) and Gryglewicz et all (2006) find that this negative relationship is not always correct. The former paper demonstrates that an increase in uncertainty can actually hasten the probability of making an investment under certain condition (when project life is short and level of uncertainty is low) and hence uncertainty has a positive effect on investment. Result of the latter paper is exceptional in the sense that uncertainty may accelerate irreversible investment without building on the convexity of the marginal product of capital. In this thesis, we compare these two papers and investigate whether they support each other or not in the framework of real option theory. Moreover, we made some numerical simulations in order to understand clearly impact of other variables on investment along with uncertainty.en_US
dc.description.degreeM.A.en_US
dc.description.statementofresponsibilityYılmaz, Erdalen_US
dc.format.extentv, 46 leavesen_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11693/15004
dc.language.isoEnglishen_US
dc.publisherBilkent Universityen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectInvestmenten_US
dc.subjectUncertaintyen_US
dc.subjectReal Optionen_US
dc.subject.lccHG4515.2 .Y55 2009en_US
dc.subject.lcshInvestments--Mathematical models.en_US
dc.subject.lcshInvestment analysis.en_US
dc.subject.lcshRisk management.en_US
dc.subject.lcshReal options (Finance)en_US
dc.titleThe impact of uncertainty on investment : overviewen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
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