Central bank reform, liberalization and inflation in transition economies-an international perspective

Date
2002
Authors
Cukierman, A.
Miller, G. P.
Neyapti, B.
Editor(s)
Advisor
Supervisor
Co-Advisor
Co-Supervisor
Instructor
Source Title
Journal of Monetary Economics
Print ISSN
0304-3932
Electronic ISSN
1873-1295
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Volume
49
Issue
2
Pages
237 - 264
Language
English
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Series
Abstract

This paper develops extensive new indices of legal independence (central bank indepedence (CBI) for new central banks (CBs) in 26 former socialist economies. The indices reveal that CB reform in the FSE during the 1990s has been quite ambitious. In spite of large price shocks, reformers in those countries chose to create CBs with levels of legal independence that are substantially higher, on average, than those of developed economies during the 1980s. The evidence in the paper shows that CBI is unrelated to inflation during the early stages of liberalization. But for sufficiently high and sustained levels of liberalization, and controlling for other variables, legal CBI and inflation are significantly and negatively related. These findings are consistent with the view that even high CBI cannot contain the initial powerful inflationary impact of price decontrols. But once the process of liberalization has gathered sufficient momentum legal independence becomes effective in reducing inflation. The paper also presents evidence on factors that affect the choice of CBI and examines the relation between inflation and CBI in a broader sample. © 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

Course
Other identifiers
Book Title
Citation
Published Version (Please cite this version)