Output-employment relationship across sectors: A long-versus short-run perspective

Date
2015
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Source Title
Bulletin of Economic Research
Print ISSN
0307-3378
Electronic ISSN
1467-8586
Publisher
Wiley-Blackwell Publishing
Volume
67
Issue
3
Pages
265 - 288
Language
English
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Abstract

This paper investigates the nature of the output-employment relationship by using the Turkish quarterly data for the period 1988-2008. Even if we fail to find a long-run relationship between aggregate output and total employment, there are long-run relationships for the aggregate output with non-agricultural employment and sectoral employment levels for seven of nine sectors that we consider. However, a further investigation for the output and employment relationship within a short-run perspective does not reveal statistically significant relationships for either total employment or non-agriculture employment, or eight of the nine sectors that we consider. Although there are various long-run relationships between output and employment, the short-run links between demand and employment are weak. The various implications of this for the economy and the labour market are discussed. As a result, maintaining high levels of output in the long-run creating demand is essential for employment generation. © 2013 Board of Trustees of the Bulletin of Economic Research and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

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