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      • Department of Political Science and Public Administration
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      Embattled ballots, quiet streets: Competitive authoritarianism and dampening anti-government protests in Turkey

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      Author(s)
      Kahvecioğlu, Anıl
      Patan, S.
      Date
      2022-09-16
      Source Title
      South European Society and Politics
      Print ISSN
      1743-9612
      Electronic ISSN
      1360-8746
      Publisher
      Routledge
      Volume
      26
      Issue
      4
      Pages
      489 - 515
      Language
      English
      Type
      Article
      Item Usage Stats
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      Abstract
      Mass protests frequently occur in electoral autocracies. However, the opposite is true in Turkey, despite mounting grievances and a strong opposition presence with institutional resources. We argue that competitive authoritarian regimes, a subset of electoral autocracies, may dampen mass protests, allowing the opposition an opportunity to defeat the incumbents through elections. Studying Turkey’s main opposition party, we identify three mechanisms that show how politicians strategically respond to the regime’s incentives and constraints leading to protest-averse behaviour. First, the regime’s repression capacity discourages the opposition from openly supporting a mass protest. Second, the opposition learns to target the median voter, which leads to political moderation and protest averseness. Finally, prospective electoral success reinforces the opposition’s commitment to a ballot-centred approach.
      Keywords
      Opposition
      Electoral autocracy
      Elections
      Repression
      CHP
      Political elites
      AKP
      Authoritarian regimes
      Permalink
      http://hdl.handle.net/11693/111659
      Published Version (Please cite this version)
      https://doi.org/10.1080/13608746.2022.2101622
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      • Department of Political Science and Public Administration 640
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