Browsing by Subject "Economic and social effects"
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Item Open Access Compromising system and user interests in shelter location and evacuation planning(Elsevier Ltd, 2015) Bayram V.; Tansel, B.T.; Yaman H.Traffic management during an evacuation and the decision of where to locate the shelters are of critical importance to the performance of an evacuation plan. From the evacuation management authority's point of view, the desirable goal is to minimize the total evacuation time by computing a system optimum (SO). However, evacuees may not be willing to take long routes enforced on them by a SO solution; but they may consent to taking routes with lengths not longer than the shortest path to the nearest shelter site by more than a tolerable factor. We develop a model that optimally locates shelters and assigns evacuees to the nearest shelter sites by assigning them to shortest paths, shortest and nearest with a given degree of tolerance, so that the total evacuation time is minimized. As the travel time on a road segment is often modeled as a nonlinear function of the flow on the segment, the resulting model is a nonlinear mixed integer programming model. We develop a solution method that can handle practical size problems using second order cone programming techniques. Using our model, we investigate the importance of the number and locations of shelter sites and the trade-off between efficiency and fairness. © 2014 Elsevier Ltd.Item Open Access Inflationary effect of crude oil prices in Turkey(Elsevier BV, 2002) Berument, Hakan; Taşçı, H.It is generally acknowledged that changes in oil prices affect economic welfare in ways that are not entirely reflected in transactions in the oil market. In this article, by using the 1990 input-output table, the inflationary effects of crude oil prices are investigated for Turkey. Under fixed nominal wages, profits, interest and rent earnings, the effect of increasing prices of oil on inflation is limited. However, when wages and the other three factors of income (profit, interest and rent) are adjusted to the general price level that includes the oil price increases, the inflationary effect of oil prices becomes significant. Hence, indexation could have very severe effects on an economy when oil prices increase and, in some cases, could even lead to hyperinflation. © 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.Item Open Access Is there a flight to quality due to inflation uncertainty?(Elsevier BV, 2005) Guler, B.; Ozlale, U.After two types of inflation uncertainty are derived within a time-varying parameter model with GARCH specification, the relationship between inflation uncertainty and interest rates for safe assets is investigated. The results support the existence of a "flight to quality" effect. © 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Item Open Access Modified GDP through health cost analysis of air pollution: the case of Turkey(1999) Zaim, K. K.Economic growth and performance is monitored through the gross domestic product (GDP) of a nation. It has long been recognized that the traditionally computed GDP does not account for gains and losses observed due to the consumption of natural resources and environmental services. Hence, the objective of this study is to modify the Turkish GDP by taking social cost associated with air pollution into consideration. To this end health benefits and economic costs of air-quality improvement are estimated. The computations are based on the dose-response coefficients reported in several studies. The results indicate that a decrease in PM10 and SO2 levels to the WHO guideline would have resulted in a total of 48.309 x 1010 and 153.38 x 1010 Turkish lira savings in 1990 and 1993, respectively. These correspond to 0.12% and 0.08% of 1990 and 1993 GDPs, respectively.Item Open Access Reconfigurable hardened latch and flip-flop for FPGAs(IEEE, 2017-07) Ahangari, Hamzeh; Alouani, I.; Öztürk, Özcan; Niar, S.In this paper, we propose Joint Latch (JLatch) and Joint Flip-Flop (JFF), two novel reconfigurable structures which bring the reconfigurability of reliability to user latches and flip-flops (FFs) in reconfigurable devices such as FPGAs. Specifically, we implement two reconfigurable storage elements that exploit a trade-off between reliability and amount of available resources. In fault prone conditions, JLatch (or JFF) is configured in such a way that four pre-selected normal static latches (or FFs) are combined together at circuit level to form one hardened storage cell. Solution focuses on transient faults such as soft errors, where we show that critical charge is increased by at least three orders of magnitude (1000X) to practically bring immunity against any Single Event Upset (SEU). If four latches inside an FPGA logic block are far enough, it can effectively cope with Multiple Bit Upsets (MBUs) as well. Additionally, provided that special transistor sizing is applied (only necessary for some latch structures), JLatch and JFF take advantage of a novel self-correcting technique to correct any single fault immediately. Our solution provides reconfigurability of reliability with negligible performance and area overhead with only one (two) extra transistor(s) per latch (FF). The delay of this technique is less than the delay of conventional TMR (Triple Modular Redundancy) technique with a majority voter at output. © 2017 IEEE.Item Open Access Reward-rate maximization in sequential identification under a stochastic deadline(2013) Dayanık, S.; Yu, A. J.Any intelligent system performing evidence-based decision making under time pressure must negotiate a speed-accuracy trade-off. In computer science and engineering, this is typically modeled as minimizing a Bayes-risk functional that is a linear combination of expected decision delay and expected terminal decision loss. In neuroscience and psychology, however, it is often modeled as maximizing the long-term reward rate, or the ratio of expected terminal reward and expected decision delay. The two approaches have opposing advantages and disadvantages. While Bayes-risk minimization can be solved with powerful dynamic programming techniques unlike reward-rate maximization, it also requires the explicit specification of the relative costs of decision delay and error, which is obviated by reward-rate maximization. Here, we demonstrate that, for a large class of sequential multihypothesis identification problems under a stochastic deadline, the reward-rate maximization is equivalent to a special case of Bayes-risk minimization, in which the optimal policy that attains the minimal risk when the unit sampling cost is exactly the maximal reward rate is also the policy that attains maximal reward rate. We show that the maximum reward rate is the unique unit sampling cost for which the expected total observation cost and expected terminal reward break even under every Bayes-risk optimal decision rule. This interplay between reward-rate maximization and Bayesrisk minimization formulations allows us to show that maximum reward rate is always attained. We can compute the policy that maximizes reward rate by solving an inverse Bayes-risk minimization problem, whereby we know the Bayes risk of the optimal policy and need to find the associated unit sampling cost parameter. Leveraging this equivalence, we derive an iterative dynamic programming procedure for solving the reward-rate maximization problem exponentially fast, thus incorporating the advantages of both the reward-rate maximization and Bayes-risk minimization formulations. As an illustration, we will apply the procedure to a two-hypothesis identification example.Item Open Access The social structure in the GAP region and its evolution(1997) Erhan, S.GAP is an integrated multisectoral development project implemented in south-east Turkey, which makes up 9.7% of the country. With its technical, economic and social dimensions, it is considered in western circles as one of the three to nine wonders of the modern world. As distinct from earlier projects implemented in Turkey (e.g. the Çukurova Plain project) and elsewhere in the world, the main objective of GAP is to improve the living conditions of the people not merely by developing the material infrastructure but by taking the people as the core factor in every component of the project. The sustainability of such projects, it is well realized, depends on the human dimension, and not on success in the achievement of the material goals alone. Within this framework, several sociological research studies were conducted in the region to determine the appropriate approach in making the people a vital component of GAP and in bringing them to participate in the project voluntarily. This article first gives a historical account of nomadic, i.e., 'tribal' (or ashiret) aspects of Anatolian history, without which neither the past nor the present of Turkey can be adequately understood. 1 It then proceeds to summarize the findings, regarding the 'tribal' structure in the region, of the several research studies carried out in the region between 1992 and 1994.Item Open Access Sulfur-tolerant BaO/ZrO2/TiO2/Al2O3 quaternary mixed oxides for deNOX catalysis(Royal Society of Chemistry, 2017) Say, Z.; Mihai, O.; Tohumeken, M.; Ercan, K. E.; Olsson, L.; Ozensoy, E.Advanced quaternary mixed oxide materials in the form of BaO/Al2O3/ZrO2/TiO2 functionalized with Pt active sites (i.e. Pt/BaO/AZT) were synthesized and structurally characterized via XRD and BET in comparison to a conventional Pt/20BaO/Al benchmark NSR/LNT catalyst. The interactions of these catalysts' surfaces with SOx and NOx gases were monitored via in situ FTIR and TPD. There exists a delicate trade-off between NOx storage capacity (NSC) and sulfur uptake/poisoning which is strongly governed by the BaO loading/ dispersion as well as the surface structure and acidity of the support material. Flow reactor measurements performed under realistic catalytic conditions show the high NOx activity for the Pt/20BaO/AZT catalyst at 573 K. After sulfur poisoning and subsequent regeneration at 773 and 973 K, Pt/20BaO/AZT surpassed the NOx catalytic performance at 573 K of all other investigated materials including the conventional Pt/ 20BaO/Al benchmark catalyst.