Browsing by Keywords "Judgement"
Now showing items 1-8 of 8
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Currency forecasting: an investigation of extrapolative judgement
(Elsevier, 1997)This paper aims to explore the potential effects of trend type, noise and forecast horizon on experts' and novices' probabilistic forecasts. The subjects made forecasts over six time horizons from simulated monthly currency ... -
Evaluating predictive performance of judgemental extrapolations from simulated currency series
(Elsevier, 1999)Judgemental forecasting of exchange rates is critical for financial decision-making. Detailed investigations of the potential effects of time-series characteristics on judgemental currency forecasts demand the use of ... -
Evaluating strategic directional probability predictions of exchange rates
(2010)The current paper aims to examine strategic predictions (with forecast horizons greater than six months) via the empirical probability (EP) technique. This technique was proposed initially to examine short-term tactical ... -
The influence of trend strength on directional probabilistic currency predictions
(Elsevier, 2003)An experiment is reported which compares the judgmental forecasting performance of experts and novices using simulated currency series with differing trend strengths. Analyses of directional probability forecasts reveal: ... -
İlham veren kadınlar: İlk kadın Danıştay Başkanı Füruzan İkincioğulları'nın gözünden 1994-1998 yılları arası ; Danıştay
(Bilkent University, 2018)Bu araştırma projesinde, Türkiye Cumhuriyeti'nin ilk kadın Danıştay Başkanı olan Füruzan İkincioğulları'nın yorumları ışığında, Türkiye Cumhuriyeti'nin 1994-1998 yılları arasındaki siyasi ve hukuki olaylarının değerlendirilmesi ... -
Judgemental forecasting: a review of progress over the last 25 years
(Elsevier, 2006)The past 25 years has seen phenomenal growth of interest in judgemental approaches to forecasting and a significant change of attitude on the part of researchers to the role of judgement. While previously judgement was ... -
Performance evaluation of judgemental directional exchange rate predictions
(Elsevier, 2005)A procedure is proposed for examining different aspects of performance for judgemental directional probability predictions of exchange rate movements. In particular, a range of new predictive performance measures is ... -
Wisdom of group forecasts: Does role-playing play a role?
(Pergamon Press, 2012)Forecasting plays a special role in supply chain management with sales forecasts representing one of the key drivers for collaborative planning and decision making in the organisations involved. We review the important ...
