Browsing by Keywords "Forecasting"
Now showing items 1-20 of 43
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3-Boyutlu orman yangını yayılımı sistemi
(IEEE, 2008)In the last few years, due to the global warming and draught related to it, there is an increase in the number of forest fires. Forest fire detection is mainly done by people but there exists some automated systems in this ... -
Adaptive compute-phase prediction and thread prioritization to mitigate memory access latency
(ACM, 2014-06)The full potential of chip multiprocessors remains unex- ploited due to the thread oblivious memory access sched- ulers used in off-chip main memory controllers. This is especially pronounced in embedded systems due to ... -
Analysis of errors in zero-free-parameter modeling approach to predict the voltage of electrochemical energy storage systems under arbitrary load
(Electrochemical Society, 2017)In a recently published article (J. Electrochem. Soc. 164 (2017) A1274-A1280), we described a new method to predict the voltage response of electrochemical energy storage systems during arbitrary load profiles. Our work ... -
An Application of Expected Utility Modeling and Game Theory in IR: Assessment of International Bargaining on Iran’s Nuclear Program
(Dış Politika ve Barış Araştırmaları Merkezi, İhsan Doğramacı Barış Vakfı, 2019)This article provides an introduction to the theoretical underpinnings of expected utility and game theory approaches in IR studies. It goes on to explore their application to a specific research subject, international ... -
Application of the RIMARC algorithm to a large data set of action potentials and clinical parameters for risk prediction of atrial fibrillation
(Springer, 2015)Ex vivo recorded action potentials (APs) in human right atrial tissue from patients in sinus rhythm (SR) or atrial fibrillation (AF) display a characteristic spike-and-dome or triangular shape, respectively, but variability ... -
Benefits of forecasting and energy storage in isolated grids with large wind penetration – The case of Sao Vicente
(Elsevier, 2017)For electric grids that rely primarily on liquid fuel based power generation for energy provision, e.g. one or more diesel gensets, measures to allow a larger fraction of intermittent sources can pay-off since the displaced ... -
Comprehensive lower bounds on sequential prediction
(IEEE, 2014-09)We study the problem of sequential prediction of real-valued sequences under the squared error loss function. While refraining from any statistical and structural assumptions on the underlying sequence, we introduce a ... -
Cross-term free based bistatic radar system using sparse least squares
(SPIE, 2015)Passive Bistatic Radar (PBR) systems use illuminators of opportunity, such as FM, TV, and DAB broadcasts. The most common illuminator of opportunity used in PBR systems is the FM radio stations. Single FM channel based PBR ... -
Currency forecasting: an investigation of extrapolative judgement
(Elsevier, 1997)This paper aims to explore the potential effects of trend type, noise and forecast horizon on experts' and novices' probabilistic forecasts. The subjects made forecasts over six time horizons from simulated monthly currency ... -
Çağrı merkezi metin madenciliği yaklaşımı
(IEEE, 2017-05)Günümüzde çağrı merkezlerindeki görüşme kayıtlarının sesten metne dönüştürülebilmesi görüşme kaydı metinleri üzerinde metin madenciliği yöntemlerinin uygulanmasını mümkün kılmaktadır. Bu çalışma kapsamında görüşme ... -
Do DSGE models forecast more accurately out-of sample than VAR models?
(Emerald, 2013)Recently, it has been suggested that macroeconomic forecasts from estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models tend to be more accurate out-of-sample than random walk forecasts or Bayesian vector ... -
An eager regression method based on best feature projections
(Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, 2001)This paper describes a machine learning method, called Regression by Selecting Best Feature Projections (RSBFP). In the training phase, RSBFP projects the training data on each feature dimension and aims to find the ... -
Energy consumption forecasting via order preserving pattern matching
(IEEE, 2014-12)We study sequential prediction of energy consumption of actual users under a generic loss/utility function. Particularly, we try to determine whether the energy usage of the consumer will increase or decrease in the future, ... -
Estimation and forecasting of PM10 air pollution in Ankara via time series and harmonic regressions
(Springer, 2020)In this study, monthly particulate matter (PM10) values in Ankara (39.9334° N, 32.8597° E) from January 1993 to December 2017 are examined. The PM10 are those thoracic particles whose aerodynamic diameter is less than 10 ... -
Evaluating expert advice in forecasting: Users’ reactions to presumed vs. experienced credibility
(Elsevier B.V., 2017)In expert knowledge elicitation (EKE) for forecasting, the perceived credibility of an expert is likely to affect the weighting attached to their advice. Four experiments have investigated the extent to which the implicit ... -
Evaluating predictive performance of judgemental extrapolations from simulated currency series
(Elsevier, 1999)Judgemental forecasting of exchange rates is critical for financial decision-making. Detailed investigations of the potential effects of time-series characteristics on judgemental currency forecasts demand the use of ... -
Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of stock prices in a developing stock market
(Elsevier, 1994)Recent literature on the accuracy of forecasting in financial markets reveals contradictory results. These discrepancies can be attributed to the differences in forecasting environments as well as the differences in ... -
Expectations, use and judgmental adjustment of external financial and economic forecasts: an empirical investigation
(John Wiley & Sons Ltd., 2009)A survey of 124 users of externally produced financial and economic forecasts in Turkey investigated their expectations and perceptions of forecast quality and their reasons for judgmentally adjusting forecasts. Expectations ... -
The explanatory power and the forecast performance of consumer confidence indices for private consumption growth in Turkey
(Routledge, 2018)In this study, we assess empirically whether consumer confidence indices contain information about future private consumption growth in Turkey. To this end, we estimate models for quarterly total, durable, and nondurable ... -
Feedback-labelling synergies in judgmental stock price forecasting
(Elsevier, 2004)Research has suggested that outcome feedback is less effective than other forms of feedback in promoting learning by users of decision support systems. However, if circumstances can be identified where the effectiveness ...