Browsing by Keywords "Forecast"

Now showing items 1-6 of 6

    • Comparison of the forecast performances of linear time series and artificial neural network models within the context of Turkish inflation 

      Uçar, Nuri (Bilkent University, 2001)
      This thesis compares a variety of linear and nonlinear models to find the one with the best inflation forecast performance for the Turkish Economy. These comparisons are performed by considering the type of series whether ...

    • The effects of structural characteristics of explanations on use of a DSS 

      Gönül, M. S.; Önkal D.; Lawrence, M. (Elsevier, 2006)
      Research in the field of expert systems has shown that providing supporting explanations may influence effective use of system developed advice. However, despite many studies showing the less than optimal use made of DSS ...

    • Evaluating strategic directional probability predictions of exchange rates 

      Pollock, A.C.; Macaulay, A.; Thomson, M.E.; Gönül, M.S.; Önkal, D. (2010)
      The current paper aims to examine strategic predictions (with forecast horizons greater than six months) via the empirical probability (EP) technique. This technique was proposed initially to examine short-term tactical ...

    • Influence of differentiated roles on group forecasting accuracy 

      Önkal D.; Lawrence, M.; Sayım, K. Z. (Elsevier, 2011-03)
      While behavioral research on forecasting has mostly examined the individual forecaster, organizationally-based forecasting processes typically tend to rely on groups with members from different functional areas for arriving ...

    • Scenarios as channels of forecast advice 

      Önkal, D.; Sayım, K. Z.; Gönül, M. S. (Elsevier, 2013-05)
      Today's business environment provides tougher competition than ever before, stressing the important role played by information and forecasts in decision-making. The scenario method has been popular for focused organizational ...

    • The TIPS yield curve and inflation compensation 

      Gürkaynak, R. S.; Sack, B.; Wright, J. H. (American Economic Association, 2010)
      For over ten years, the Treasury has issued index-linked debt. This paper describes the methodology for fitting a smoothed yield curve to these securities that is used at the Federal Reserve Board every day, and makes the ...