Now showing items 1-6 of 6

    • Currency forecasting: an investigation of extrapolative judgement 

      Wilkie-Thomson, M. E.; Önkal-Atay, D.; Pollock, A. C. (Elsevier, 1997)
      This paper aims to explore the potential effects of trend type, noise and forecast horizon on experts' and novices' probabilistic forecasts. The subjects made forecasts over six time horizons from simulated monthly currency ...
    • Evaluating predictive performance of judgemental extrapolations from simulated currency series 

      Pollock, A. C.; Macaulay, A.; Önkal-Atay, D.; Wilkie-Thomson, M. E. (Elsevier, 1999)
      Judgemental forecasting of exchange rates is critical for financial decision-making. Detailed investigations of the potential effects of time-series characteristics on judgemental currency forecasts demand the use of ...
    • The influence of trend strength on directional probabilistic currency predictions 

      Thomson, M. E.; Önkal-Atay, D.; Pollock, A. C.; Macaulay, A. (Elsevier, 2003)
      An experiment is reported which compares the judgmental forecasting performance of experts and novices using simulated currency series with differing trend strengths. Analyses of directional probability forecasts reveal: ...
    • The political economy of Kulturkampf: evidence from imperial Prussia and republican Turkey 

      Grigoriadis, I. N.; Grigoriadis, T. N. (Springer New York LLC, 2018)
      This paper analyzes the political incentives of Kulturkampf and the implementation of secularization in imperial Prussia and republican Turkey. A game-theoretic model defining Kulturkampf as a static game between priests ...
    • Professionalism 

      Winter, Thomas (SAGE Publications, Inc., 2004)
      Ideals of professionalism, like those of work more generally, have often been articulated in conjunction with notions of manliness, at least since what are commonly called “the professions” (law, medicine, and the ministry) ...
    • Task difficulty and expertise mediate the effects of roving on perceptual performance 

      Ceylan, Gizay (Bilkent University, 2019-02)
      Experience-dependent improvement of perception, known as perceptual learning, is possible in the absence of feedback, but feedback enables faster progress as demonstrated by both unsupervised and supervised learning ...